Background: Kidney transplantation provides substantial benefits in extending survival and improving quality of life for patients with end-stage renal disease. The incidence of major adverse cardiac events (MACE) increases with a decline of kidney function in patients with chronic kidney disease. After kidney transplantation, the incidence of MACE remains high. The objective of this study was to assess the prognostic significance of pre-transplant single-photon emission computed tomography (SPECT) myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI) in kidney transplant recipients.

Methods: A systematic literature search was performed between January 1st 2015 and March 26th 2024 in PubMed, EMBASE, Web of Science and The Cochrane Library to identify the prognostic value of SPECT MPI for developing MACE (primary outcome) and mortality (secondary outcome) in kidney transplant recipients (PROSPERO CRD42020188610). Risk of bias was assessed. Meta-analyses and subgroup analyses were performed using random-effects models.

Results: Six studies comprising 2090 SPECT MPI scans were included. Abnormal SPECT MPI scans were associated with an increased risk of MACE post-transplantation (HR 1.62, 95% CI 1.27-2.06, p < 0.001). Subgroup analyses showed consistent findings across various patient populations and methodological differences. Sensitivity analyses supported the robustness of our findings.

Conclusions: Current evidence showed that pre-transplant SPECT MPI has significant prognostic value in identifying kidney transplant candidates at risk for MACE post-transplantation. Integrating SPECT MPI into preoperative assessments might enhance risk stratification and guide clinical decision-making. Prospective studies are needed to refine risk prediction models.